Anthony Charles Lynton Blair (born 6 May 1953) is the Prime Minister of the United Kingdom of Great Britain and Northern Ireland, First Lord of the Treasury, Minister for the Civil Service and Member of Parliament for the North East constituency of Sedgefield.
He has been leader of the Labour Party since July 1994, following the death of John Smith in May 1994. Blair led Labour to power with a landslide victory in the 1997 general election replacing John Major as Prime Minister and ending 18 years of Conservative government. He is the Labour Party's longest-serving Prime Minister, and the only person to have led the party to three consecutive general election victories. He was the youngest person to be appointed Prime Minister since 1812.Biography: The Prime Minister Tony Charles Lynton Blair, 10 Downing Street. Retrieved 15 May 2006. He has deployed British armed forces into four conflicts: in Kosovo, Sierra Leone, Afghanistan and Iraq.
Along with Gordon Brown and Peter Mandelson, Blair is credited with moving the Labour Party towards the centre of British politics, using the term "New Labour" to distinguish his policies of support for the market economy from the party's older policy of nationalisation. This change is comparable to the reforms in the American Democratic Party associated with Bill Clinton and the New Democrats. He has referred to his policy as "modern social democracy" and "the third way" - a development partly supported by the reformist socialist think tank, the Fabian Society, of which Blair is a member (in common with the vast majority of Labour MPs). Supporters on the left feel that Blair places insufficient emphasis on traditional Labour priorities such as the redistribution of wealth and investment in public services. Although Blair has tended not to make any issue of his faith, some have commented on his religious position as high church Anglo-Catholic; in a 2006 interview he said he considered himself ultimately accountable to God for his actions, particularly his decisions to commit UK troops to military action PM attacked on Iraq 'God' remarks. 4 March 2006. BBC News. Accessed on 19 May 2006..
Since the 11th September attacks on New York and Washington, Blair's political agenda has been dominated by international affairs, especially with the United States–led "War on Terror". He has controversially supported some aspects of US President George W. Bush's foreign policy, notably by deploying British troops to participate in Afghanistan since 2001, and in Iraq since 2003; Blair's related anti-terrorism legislation has also been controversial.
In October 2004, Blair declared his intention to seek a third term but not a fourth. In the 2005 general election, the Labour party won a third term in government for the first time in its history, although its majority in the House of Commons was reduced to 66, from 167 in 2001. The fall in Labour's share of the vote renewed speculation as to how long his leadership would continue. On 14 May 2006, the Independent on Sunday reported that Blair had privately assured ministers that he would step down in the summer of 2007Francis Elliott (14 May 2006). I'll step down next summer, Blair tells cabinet ministers. The Independent. Accessed on 19 May 2006.. It is widely predicted that he will be succeeded by the Chancellor of the Exchequer Gordon Brown at some point before the next General Election, to be held by 3 June 2010.
Blair spent his early childhood in Adelaide, Australia, where his father was a lecturer in the Faculty of Law at the University of Adelaide."Tony's big adventure", The Observer, 27 April 2003. The Blairs lived close to the university in the inner-eastern suburb of Dulwich.
Blair spent the remainder of his childhood years in Durham, England, his father being by then a law lecturer at Durham University. After attending Durham's Chorister School, Blair was educated at Fettes College, a fee-paying school in Edinburgh (sometimes called the "Eton of Scotland"), where he met Charlie Falconer, whom he later appointed Lord Chancellor. Blair is said to have enjoyed a reputation as a conspicuously "cool" young man among his fellow pupils. His behaviour did not impress his teachers: Blair's biographer John Rentoul reported that "All the teachers I spoke to ... said he was a complete pain in the backside, and they were very glad to see the back of him."
After Fettes, he took a year out in London, in which he attempted to find success as a rock music promoter, before going up to Oxford University, where he read law at St John's College. During his college years, he played guitar and sang for a rock band called Ugly Rumours. After graduating from Oxford with a second class degree (Oxford did not divide the second class into 2:1 and 2:2 until later), Blair enrolled as a pupil barrister and met his future wife, Cherie Booth, at the Chambers founded by Derry Irvine, who was to be his first Lord Chancellor. Biographer Rentoul also records that according to Blair's lawyer friends, the future PM voiced much less concern regarding party affiliation than to his aim of becoming PM.
Blair married Booth, a practising Roman Catholic (and future Queen's Counsel), on 29 March, 1980. They have three sons (Euan, Nicky, and Leo) and one daughter (Kathryn). Leo (born 20 May 2000) was the first legitimate child born to a serving Prime Minister in over 150 years, since Francis Russell was born to Lord John Russell on 11 July 1849.
Although the Blairs stated that they wished to shield their children from the media, Euan and Nicky's education was a cause of political controversy. They both attended the Catholic London Oratory School, which had been criticised from the left of British politics for the perceived elitism of its selection procedures. The Blairs chose this school in preference to a Catholic school in Labour-controlled Islington, where they then lived. There was further criticism when it was revealed that Euan received private coaching from staff of the fee-paying Westminster School.
In 1983, Blair found that the newly created seat of Sedgefield, near where he had grown up in Durham, had no Labour candidate. Several sitting MPs displaced by boundary changes were interested. He found a branch that had not made a nomination and arranged to visit them. With the crucial support of John Burton he won their endorsement; at the last minute he was added to the shortlist and won the selection over displaced sitting MP Les Huckfield. Burton later became his agent and one of his most trusted and longest-standing allies.
Blair's election literature stressed the Labour Party's policies which included opposition to British membership of the EEC, despite having told the selection conference that he personally favoured continuing membership. He also, more enthusiastically, supported unilateral nuclear disarmament, being a member of the Campaign for Nuclear Disarmament at the time. The seat was safely Labour despite the party's collapse in the 1983 UK general election; Blair was helped on the campaign trail by soap actress Pat Phoenix, the girlfriend of his father-in-law Anthony Booth.
Blair stated in the House of Commons on 6 July 1983: "I am a socialist not through reading a textbook that has caught my intellectual fancy, nor through unthinking tradition, but because I believe that, at its best, socialism corresponds most closely to an existence that is both rational and moral. It stands for cooperation, not confrontation; for fellowship, not fear. It stands for equality". [http://www.logosjournal.com/issue_3.4/seddon.htm America's Friend: Reflections on Tony Blair LOGOS 3.4, Mark Seddon, Fall 2004. The Labour Party is declared in its constitution to be a Democratic Socialist party About the Labour Party, The Labour Party, 02/06 2006, not a social democratic party - Blair himself organised this declaration of Labour to be a socialist party when he dealt with the change to the party's Clause IV in their constitution.
The stock market crash of October 1987 raised the prominence of Blair, who inveighed against the 'morally dubious' City whiz-kids as being incompetent. He signalled his modernising stance by protesting against the third-class service for small investors at the London Stock Exchange. Blair entered the Shadow Cabinet as Shadow Secretary of State for Energy in 1988, and the next year became Shadow Employment Secretary. In this post he realised that the Labour Party's support for the emerging European 'Social Charter' policies on employment law meant dropping the party's traditional support for closed shop arrangements, whereby employers required all their employees to be members of a trade union. He announced this change in December 1989, outraging the left-wing of the Labour Party but making it more difficult for the Conservatives to attack.
As a young and telegenic Shadow Cabinet member, Blair was given prominence by the party's Director of Communications Peter Mandelson. However his first major platform speech at the Labour Party conference in October 1990 was a disastrous embarrassment when he spoke too fast and lost his place in his notes. He worked to produce a more moderate and electable party in the run-up to the 1992 general election, in which he had responsibility for developing the minimum wage policy that was expected to be strongly attacked by the Conservatives. During the election campaign Blair had a notable confrontation with the owner of a children's nursery, who was adamant that the policy would cost jobs.
When Kinnock resigned after the defeat by John Major in the 1992 UK general election, Blair became Shadow Home Secretary under new leader John Smith. Blair defined his policy (in a phrase that had actually been coined by his current Chancellor Gordon Brown) as "Tough on crime, tough on the causes of crime". This had been an area in which the Labour Party had been weak and Blair moved to strengthen its image. He accepted that the prison population might have to rise, and bemoaned the loss of a sense of community, which he was prepared to blame (at least partly) on '1960s liberalism'. However, Blair spoke in support of equalisation of the age of consent for gay sex and opposed capital punishment.
Smith died suddenly in 1994 of a heart attack. Both Blair and Gordon Brown had been considered as possible leadership contenders and had always agreed that they would not fight each other. Brown had previously been thought the most senior and understood this to mean that Blair would give way to him; however, it soon became apparent that Blair now had greater support. A MORI opinion poll published in the Sunday Times on 15 May found that among the general public, Blair had the support of 32%, John Prescott, 19%, Margaret Beckett 14%, Gordon Brown 9%, and Robin Cook 5%. At the Granita restaurant in Islington on 31 May, Brown agreed to give way. There is no conclusive evidence of the terms of any wider "Granita Pact" but supporters of Brown maintain that Blair undertook to resign as Prime Minister after a set period in favour of Brown. The Labour Party Electoral College elected Blair as party leader on 21 July 1994, the other candidates being John Prescott and Margaret Beckett. After becoming Leader of the Opposition in the House of Commons, Blair was, as is customary for the holder of that office, appointed a member of the Privy Council, which permitted him to be addressed with the style "The Right Honourable".
Aided by disaffection with the Conservative government (which was dogged by allegations of corruption, and long-running divisions over Europe), "New Labour" achieved a landslide victory over John Major in the 1997 UK general election.
Further reforms include the prominence given to the Prime Minister's Press Secretary, who became known as the Prime Minister's Official Spokesman (though the current PMOS is not the press secretary). This role was filled by Alastair Campbell from May 1997 to 8 June 2001. Campbell had been an important cog in the New Labour election machine for the 1997 general election, working with Peter Mandelson to co-ordinate Labour's campaign. In the early years of his first term, Blair relied for his political advice on a close circle of his own staff, amongst whom Campbell was seen as particularly influential: he was given the authority to direct civil servants, who previously had taken instructions only from ministers. Unlike some of his predecessors, Campbell was a political appointment and had not come through the Civil Service. Despite his overtly political role, he was paid from the public purse as a member of the civil service, in one of Blair's earliest moves feared liable to change the traditional political neutrality of the civil service. Campbell was replaced by Godric Smith and Tom Kelly when he moved to become the Prime Minister's Director of Communications and Strategy immediately after Blair's election success on 7 June 2001. Campbell resigned on 29 August 2003, following the Hutton report into the death of Dr David Kelly.
A significant achievement of Blair's first term was the completion of negotiations of the Belfast Agreement, commonly called the Good Friday Agreement, in which the British and Irish Governments and most Northern Irish political parties established an "exclusively peaceful and democratic" framework for power-sharing in Northern Ireland. Negotiations had begun under the previous Prime Minister, John Major but collapsed after the end of the IRA ceasefire. The agreement was finally signed on 10 April 1998, and on 26 November 1998 Blair became the first Prime Minister of the United Kingdom to address the Republic of Ireland's parliament.
Blair's first term saw an extensive programme of constitutional alteration. A Human Rights Act was introduced in 1998; a Welsh Assembly and a Scottish Parliament were both set up; most hereditary peers were removed from the House of Lords in 1999; the Greater London Authority was established in 2000; and the Freedom of Information Act was passed later that year, with its provisions coming into effect over the next decade. This latter proposal disappointed campaigners whose hopes had been raised by a White Paper of 1998 which promised a more robust Act. No significant progress has been made in reforming the House of Lords since 1999: the debate remains open whether the reformed chamber should be fully elected, fully appointed, or part elected and part appointed.
In the 2001 UK general election, Blair campaigned on improvements to public services, including the National Health Service, based on private finance projects. The Conservatives largely ignored the issue of public services in favour of opposing British membership of Economic and Monetary Union of the European Union, which proved to do little to win over floating voters: the Labour Party preserved its majority, and Blair became the first Labour Prime Minister to win a full second term. However the election was notable for a large fall in voter turnout. The leader of the Conservative Party, William Hague, resigned the following morning.
Blair has supported gay rights more then any previous British Prime Minister. Under his Labour Government, the age of consent was equalized, civil unions for gay couples were enacted and the ban on gays in the British armed forces was lifted.
Blair made a case for war against Saddam based on Iraqi possession of weapons of mass destruction and breach of UN resolutions, but was wary of making a direct appeal for regime change as international law does not recognize that as a legal ground for invasion. A memorandum from a July 2002 meeting that was leaked in April 2005 to The Sunday Times showed that Blair believed that the British public would support regime change in the right political context; however the memo states that legal grounds for such action were weak. On Tuesday 24 September 2002 Downing Street published a dossier based on intelligence agencies' assessments of Iraqi weapons of mass destruction. Among the items in the dossier was a recently received intelligence report that "the Iraqi military are able to deploy chemical or biological weapons within 45 minutes of an order to do so". (A briefing paper in February 2003 entitled 'Iraq - its infrastructure of concealment, deception and intimidation' was also issued to journalists; this document was discovered to have taken a large part of its text without attribution from a PhD thesis available on the World Wide Web. Where the thesis hypothesized about possible WMD, the Downing Street version presented the ideas as fact and it was thus subsequently referred to as the 'Dodgy Dossier').
Forty-six thousand British troops, one-third of the total strength of the UK army (land forces), were deployed to assist with the 2003 invasion of Iraq. When after the war it was established that Iraq possessed no weapons of mass destruction, Blair's pre-war statements became a major domestic controversy. Many members of the Labour Party, not only those who were opposed to the Iraq war, were among those critical; among opponents of the war, accusations that Blair had deliberately exaggerated the threat were made. Successive inquiries (including those by the Foreign Affairs Select Committee of the House of Commons, Lord Hutton, and Lord Butler of Brockwell) have found that Blair honestly stated what he believed to be true at the time. These findings have not prevented frequent accusations that Blair lied, a fact seized upon during the 2005 election campaign by Conservative leader Michael Howard.
Several anti-war pressure groups want to try Blair for war crimes in Iraq at the International Criminal Court. The Secretary General of the United Nations, Kofi Annan, stated in September 2004 that the invasion was "illegal" but did not state the legal basis for this accusation. This assertion by Kofi Annan conflicts with the opinion of the British Attorney General Lord Goldsmith that the war was legal.
United Kingdom armed forces were active in southern Iraq to stabilise the country in the run-up to the elections of January 2005. In October 2004 the UK government agreed to a request from US forces to send a battalion of the Black Watch regiment to the American sector to free up US troops for an assault on Fallujah. At present, British forces remain in Iraq. After the US election, Blair tried to use his relationship with President Bush to bring pressure on the US administration on Israel and Palestine. He has supported the Israeli government's plan to withdraw from the Gaza Strip.
On 1 May 2005, The Sunday Times printed a leaked 'Downing Street memo', which appeared to be the minutes of a discussion of Iraq held in July 2002. The memo created a stir particularly among critics of the war by stating "It seemed clear that Bush had made up his mind to take military action ... But the case was thin." In the following weeks, Blair was compelled to repeatedly reiterate his rationale for taking the UK to war, the basic tenets of which he has steadfastly maintained to this day.
In an interview with Michael Parkinson broadcast on ITV1 on 4 March 2006, Blair (the first serving Prime Minister to appear on the chat show programme) referred to the influence of his Christian faith on his decision to go to war in Iraq, stating that he had prayed about the issue, and saying that God would judge him for his decision *: "I think if you have faith about these things, you realise that judgement is made by other people … and if you believe in God, it's made by God as well."
The peace process in Northern Ireland hit a series of problems and on 15 October 2002 the Northern Ireland Assembly was suspended and direct rule returned; attempts to get the Provisional Irish Republican Army to decommission its weapons were unsuccessful and in the second set of elections to the Assembly in November 2003 the Ulster Unionists lost the battle for largest Unionist party to the Democratic Unionists of Ian Paisley, making restarting devolution more difficult. At the same time Sinn Féin became the largest nationalist party.
In its first term, the government had introduced an annual fixed tuition fee of around £1,000 for higher education students (rejecting requests from universities to be allowed to vary the fee), and replaced the remaining student grant with a loan to be repaid once the student was earning over a certain threshold. Despite an explicit manifesto pledge in 2001 not to introduce variable (or "top-up") tuition fees in universities, Blair controversially announced that exactly such a scheme would indeed eventually be brought in with the maximum fee limited to £3,000 per year, while simultaneously delaying the repayment of student loans until the graduate's income was much higher and reintroducing some grants for students from poorer backgrounds.
On 1 August 2003, Blair became the longest continuously serving Labour Prime Minister of the United Kingdom, surpassing Harold Wilson's 1964–1970 term. However, because of the crisis over the suicide of Dr David Kelly, a government scientist who had spoken to a BBC journalist precipitating a major public conflict between the BBC and the government, there were no celebrations. Lord Falconer set up an inquiry under the senior Law Lord Lord Hutton.
The second reading vote on the Higher Education Bill bringing in top-up fees was held on 27 January 2004, and saw the government scrape by with a majority of five, due to a massive backbench Labour rebellion. A first House of Commons defeat had been possible but averted when a small number of Gordon Brown's backbench allies switched sides at the last minute. The next day the Hutton Inquiry reported on the circumstances surrounding the death of David Kelly. The Inquiry was widely expected to criticise Blair and his government. In the event, Hutton absolved Blair and his government of deliberately inserting false intelligence into its dossier, but criticised the BBC editorial process which had allowed unfounded allegations to be broadcast. The report did not satisfy opponents of Blair and of the Iraq war, leading to accusations of a 'whitewash'.
Although the Hutton Inquiry had vindicated Blair, evidence to the inquiry raised questions over the use of intelligence in the run up to the war in Iraq. Hutton was the subject of criticism for strictly interpreting his remit; after a similar decision by President Bush, Blair initiated another inquiry (the Butler Review) into the accuracy and presentation of pre-war intelligence. Opponents of the war, especially the Liberal Democrats, refused to participate as it did not meet their demands for a full public inquiry into whether the war was justified.
In April 2004, Blair announced that a referendum would be held on the ratification of the EU Constitution. This represented a significant change in British politics, where only one nationwide referendum had been held, in 1975, on whether the UK should remain in the EEC. It was another dramatic U-turn for Blair, who had previously dismissed calls for a referendum unless the constitution fundamentally altered the UK's relationship with the EU; Michael Howard eagerly seized on the "EU-turn", reminding Blair of his 2003 conference oration that "I can only go one way. I haven't got a reverse gear". The referendum was expected to be held in early 2006; however since the French and Dutch rejections of the treaty, the Blair government has announced that it is putting plans for a referendum on hold for the foreseeable future.
During his second term Blair was increasingly the target for protests. On 19 May 2004, he was hit by two condoms filled with purple flour in the House of Commons, thrown by Fathers 4 Justice. His speech to the 2004 Labour Party conference was interrupted both by a protester against the Iraq war and by a group that opposed the government's decision to allow the House of Commons to ban fox hunting.
On 15 September 2004, Blair delivered a speech on the environment and the 'urgent issue' of climate change. In unusually direct language he concluded that If what the science tells us about climate change is correct, then unabated it will result in catastrophic consequences for our world... The science, almost certainly, is correct. The action he proposed to take appeared to be based on business and investment rather than any tax or legislative attempts to reduce CO2 emissions: ...it is possible to combine reducing emissions with economic growth... investment in science and technology and in the businesses associated with it... The G8 next year, and the EU presidency provide a great opportunity to push this debate to a new and better level that, after the discord over Kyoto, offers the prospect of agreement and action. *.
In January 2006, General Sir Michael Rose (the former UN commander in Bosnia) joined calls to make Blair accountable: "To go to war on what turns out to be false grounds is something that no one should be allowed to walk away from" *.
No impeachment has been attempted for 150 years, and no impeachment resolution has been passed since 1806; the last two impeachment trials resulted in acquittals. Many legal authorities consider impeachment to be obsolete (see, e.g., Halsbury).
The case for Blair's impeachment was outlined by Adam Price MP in a report entitled "A case to answer" *.
Family problems in the spring of 2004 fuelled speculation that Blair was on the brink of stepping down. In September 2004 off-the-cuff remarks Lord Bragg in an interview with ITV news, said that Blair was "under colossal strain" over "considerations of his family" and that Blair had thought "things over very carefully." This led to a surge in speculation that Blair would resign. Although details of the family problem were known by the press, no paper would report them because to do so "breaches the bounds of privacy and media responsibility" as they did not relate to Mr Blair himself *.
Blair underwent a catheter ablation to correct his irregular heartbeat on 1 October 2004, having announced the procedure the day before in a series of interviews in which he also declared that he would seek a third term but not a fourth. The planned procedure was carried out at London's Hammersmith hospital. At the same time it was disclosed that the Blairs had purchased a house at 29 Connaught Square, London, for a reported £3.5 million.* Some have speculated that part of No.29 is to be converted into offices for a future Blair Foundation. The purchase also fuelled speculation that Blair was preparing for life after government.
On 19 May 2005 (a fortnight after polling day in the 2005 general election), Blair was treated with an anti-inflammatory drug to control a slipped disc, which had caused him back pain.
Chirac held several meetings with Schröder and the pair pressed for the UK to give up its rebate, famously won by Margaret Thatcher in 1984. After verbal conflict over several weeks, Blair, along with the leaders of all 25 member states, descended on Brussels for the EU Summit of the 18 June 2005 to attempt to finalise the EU budget for 2007-2013. Blair refused to renegotiate the rebate unless the proposals included a compensating overhaul of EU spending, particularly on the Common Agricultural Policy which composes 44% of the EU budget. After intense arguments inside closed doors, talks broke down late at night and the leaders emerged, all blaming each other. It is widely accepted that Blair came out on top, making allies in the Netherlands and Sweden and potentially (and crucially) several of the Eastern European accession countries.
It fell to Blair to broker a deal on the EU budget during the UK's Presidency of the European Union during the latter half of 2005. Early international opinion, particularly in the French press, suggested that Blair held a very strong opening position partly on account of the concurrence of British presidencies of the EU and G8. However, early in the UK's six-month term the 7 July London bombings distracted political attention from the EU despite some ambitious early statements about Blair's agendastatements about Blair's agenda. Domestically Blair faced further distractions from European affairs including a resurgent Conservative Party under its newly-elected leader David Cameron, and assessments of the British presidency's achievements under Blair have been *lukewarm in spite of some diplomatic success including a last-minute budget deal. The most controversial result was an agreement to increase British contributions to the EU development budget for new member countries, which effectively reduced the UK rebate by 20%.
Blair made Comments on the 2005 London transport explosions about the day's London bombings, saying that he believed it was "reasonably clear" that it was an act of terror, and that he hoped the people of Britain could demonstrate that their will to overcome the events is greater than the terrorists' wish to cause destruction. He also said that his determination to "defend" the British way of life outweighed "extremist determination" to destroy it.
On 21 July 2005, a second series of explosions were reported in London, two weeks and some hours after the 7 July 2005 London bombings. Four controlled explosions, of devices considerably less advanced than those of the previous attacks, were carried out at Shepherd's Bush, Warren Street and Oval underground stations, and on a bus in Shoreditch. Even though the attacks on the 21st were less severe than those on the 7th, Blair was reported to have said that the bombings in London today were intended "to scare people and to frighten them, to make them anxious and worried". He went on to say how the "police have done their very best, and the security services too, in the situation, and I think we have just got to react calmly and continue with our business as much as possible normal".
Concerns about terror attacks led to 10 Downing Street requesting media organizations not to identify the location of Blair's 2005 summer holiday. After Blair attended a public function it was acknowledged that the holiday was in Barbados, as a guest of the singer Cliff Richard with whom Blair has stayed before.
A Guardian/ICM poll conducted after the first wave of attacks found that 64% of the British population believed that Blair's decision to wage war in Iraq had led indirectly to the terrorist attacks on London. The public did however indicate approval of Blair's handling of the attacks, with his approval rating moving into positive territory for the first time in five years. *," target="_blank" >a trans-Atlantic think tank that organizes an annual Security Conference in Brussels [http://wsc.ewi.info.
Proposed laws to cope with the threat of terrorism proved extremely controversial; an amendment to require that glorifying terrorism be deliberate in order to be an offence was rejected in the House of Commons by just three votes (a result initially announced as a one-vote margin, due to a miscount). The proposal to allow terrorist suspects to be held for questioning for up to 90 days was defeated on 9 November by a margin of 31 with 49 Labour MPs voting against the government. Instead, MPs supported an amendment to allow questioning for 28 days proposed by veteran backbencher David Winnick. This was Blair's first defeat on the floor of the House of Commons since he became Prime Minister in 1997, and most commentators saw this as seriously undermining his authority [http://news.bbc.co.uk/1/hi/uk_politics/4421726.stm.
In the months following the election, there was frequent speculation over the anticipated date of his departure. The Westminster consensus expected him to go after the proposed UK referendum on the European Union Constitution, but its collapse eliminated this juncture. The July 2005 terror attacks also appear to have strengthened his position. But while bookmakers take bets on his staying, Blair's election agent John Burton said * mind," but there has been no firm denial.
Speculation as to the likely time of Blair's departure and his likely replacement as leader of the Labour party by Gordon Brown, increased in May 2006, following Labour's bad results in UK local council elections. Such speculation is repeatedly raised in the press and political circles when any mishap occurs to the government. The case of private loans to the Labour party apparently known to few people other than Blair himself, and the number of such benefactors who have been proposed as candidates to become members of the House of Lords, drew comment on his suitability to hold the post. He has said he will give 'ample time' for his successor to establish himself before the next general election. His successor is widely expected to be Gordon Brown the current Chancellor (UK finance minister).
If he remains in office until 26 November 2008, Blair will break Margaret Thatcher's record for longest continuous service as Prime Minister since Lord Liverpool, 1812-27.
Blair has said that after stepping down as Prime Minister, he plans to leave front-line politics and does not intend to take a seat in the House of Lords, commenting that it is, "...not my scene". *
There have been a number of rumours, in the British press, that Blair will run for the position of United Nations Secretary-General when Kofi Annan steps down on 31 December 2006. BBC: Clinton backs Blair as UN chief
Former US President Bill Clinton, in an interview, said that he believes Blair would be a good secretary-general. *
An overview of Blair's policies gives an idea of the difficulty of defining him politically. He has raised taxes (though not by very much); implemented redistributive policies (to a modest extent); introduced a minimum wage and some new employment rights (while leaving Margaret Thatcher's trade union legislation wholly unchanged); introduced important constitutional reforms (which remain incomplete and controversial); promoted new rights for gay people in the Civil Partnerships Act; and signed treaties integrating Britain more closely with the EU (opposed by the Conservatives). On the other hand, he has firmly supported George W. Bush's foreign policy (while reportedly attempting to act as a restraining influence on him); introduced substantial market-based reforms in the education and health sectors (though not to the extent advocated by the Conservatives); introduced student tuition fees (with safeguards for poor students); sought to reduce (certain categories of) welfare payments; and introduced tough anti-terrorism and identity card legislation (at a time of real danger and with claimed public support).
The most widely-publicised example concerned Blair's appeal for trust over the danger from Iraq and weapons of mass destruction, which led to British participation in the invasion of Iraq. One 'intelligence dossier' later distributed on behalf of Blair was substantially plagiarised from an academic thesis available on the internet **. A consequence of the lead-up to the second Gulf War is the belief that Blair compromised his credibility; however, defenders of Blair argue that he was publishing to the public what he had been told in private and honestly believed at the time - even if such a belief was wrong.
Other complaints involved the front page speculation of various newspapers that the '45 minutes' claim might refer to ballistic missiles which could reach Cyprus. It was later revealed that it referred to battlefield munitions which could only be a threat to an invading force, but the government did not correct the misapprehension; the lack of action was referred to as 'spin by omission'.
The 2000 Act gave the police additional powers against a wide range of activities, with reported instances of the Act being used against peaceful protestors (including an 11-year-old girl at a Peace camp outside an RAF base *). After September 11, the Anti-terrorism, Crime and Security Act 2001 was passed, allowing foreign nationals to be detained without charge for an indefinite period (subject to appeal to a special tribunal) if they were suspected international terrorists but had committed no offence under United Kingdom law. This provision was later struck down as incompatible with the European Convention on Human Rights. At the 2005 Labour Party conference, the 82-year-old veteran pacifist Walter Wolfgang was forcibly removed from the conference hall after shouting "nonsense" as Foreign Secretary Jack Straw defended Iraq policy. When he attempted to return without his conference pass, Wolfgang was briefly detained for questioning under section 44 of the Terrorism Act.
Later in 2005, Blair gave personal strong backing to proposals to allow terrorism suspects to be held for questioning for up to 90 days, and dissuaded other Ministers from offering a compromise which might prove more acceptable; the insistence resulted in the first defeat of the Blair Government on the floor of the House of Commons in November 2005.
The flagship anti-crime policy introduced in Blair's first term, Anti-social behaviour orders (ASBOs), have been criticised as excessively punitive and as a way of criminalising non-criminal conduct: an ASBO may be imposed preventing conduct which is entirely legal, but breach of the ASBO is a criminal offence. Examples are on record of ASBOs preventing their subjects from being sarcastic, using the word "grass", or attending a drug clinic which was treating them for their addiction. Opinion polls however show that ASBOs remain popular with the public leading some to suggest that criticism of them comes mainly from the chattering classes who do not regularly experience anti-social behaviour. It could be argued that Blair's crime policies are popular with the majority of the public for their populist, commonsense approach.
The Regulation of Investigatory Powers Act 2000 has also been criticised for allowing too great a latitude for law enforcement agencies to intercept communications.
By May 2006 serious doubts were being raised about Blair's "hard on crime" ploy when it was disclosed that an unspecified number (estimated in the thousands) of foreign criminals had been set free in Britain instead of being deported, whilst meanwhile the chaos in the Home Office was such that many law abiding citizens had been given criminal records.
In July 2003, Blair became the first Briton since Winston Churchill to be awarded the Congressional Gold Medal, a honour awarded by Congress and considered the highest expression of appreciation by the American people This was a controversial honour in the UK, and as of August 2005, Blair had yet to collect the actual medal, *.
The emphasis on the so-called special relationship with the USA is hardly unique to Blair. It has been a lynch-pin of British foreign policy since Churchill and Roosevelt collaborated closely during World War II. However, it has become axiomatic under Blair for British officials to only argue with their American counterparts behind closed doors, achieving whatever limited impact they can over US policy. Harold Wilson declined to send even token forces to Vietnam as President Johnson requested, but the 1956 Anglo-French military intervention over the Suez Canal was aborted when Eisenhower indicated a lack of support for the policy. British-American collaboration in foreign policy and the exchange of intelligence, bases and weapons has been argued to lend mutual respect to transatlantic relations.
Blair does not reveal his thoughts about the Bush administration: he has described Guantanamo only as "an anomaly" and, pressed in a 4 March 2006 interview with Michael Parkinson would say only that George Bush is someone whom he can work with because "he does what he says". In a February 2003 interview with Jeremy Paxman on Newsnight, Blair stated that he and Bush "don't pray together" [http://news.bbc.co.uk/2/hi/programmes/newsnight/2732979.stm but vigorously defended his support for the removal of Saddam Hussein, who posed a "threat to the region". Both interviews revealed that faith plays a part in Blair's approach to decision-making. This is another shared feature of their special relationship. Whether it concerns or reassures voters seems to differ in the two countries.
Blair's prompt appearance in Washington after the September 11 2001 attacks seems to have played a part in establishing a mutual respect between the two leaders. Britain insisted upon wider international support for the war, but ultimately America went to war with the British government at its side. Critics argue that this provided the fig-leaf of an international coalition as well as military support which US Defense Secretary Donald Rumsfeld mistakenly claimed barely to need. Much of the shared "intelligence" released to the public, especially the so-called "dodgy dossier", has been shown to be deeply flawed *.
A 2005 book by the former United Kingdom Ambassador to the USA, Sir Christopher Meyer, concurred with these criticisms implied by the epithets, accusing Blair of being a hawk and insufficiently cautious about the war Simon Jenkins, for example, described it as a "folly of diplomatic grandeur" and asserted that Blair has no history of standing firm on anything. [http://www.guardian.co.uk/Columnists/Column/0,,1637206,00.html" target="_blank" >*. Citing the investigation by Vanity Fair magazine, (May 2004 issue), he continued: "Blair was helpless in the face of neocons. When he set conditions, they ridiculed them. Had Britain backed out after the failure of the second UN resolution, the White House would have lost no sleep..."
The Vanity Fair article (which Paul Wolfowitz claims includes partial and incorrect quotes) reported that Sir Christopher Meyer was present when, a few days after 9/11, Bush asked Blair to support an attack on Hussein. Blair reportedly replied that he would rather concentrate on ousting the Taliban and restoring peace in Afghanistan. According to Sir Christopher, Bush replied: "I agree with you Tony. We must deal with this first. But when we have dealt with Afghanistan, we must come back to Iraq." Mr Blair, Sir Christopher reports, "said nothing to demur".
In 2002, Cherie Blair masterminded the purchase of two new flats in Bristol, where Euan Blair was at university; one of them was for his use, and the other was a rental investment. The flats proved difficult to rent out and attracted some unwelcome publicity and political damage * when it was revealed that Cherie had engaged Peter Foster, a convicted fraudster, to negotiate the purchase price.
The Blairs paid a reported £3.6m in late 2004 for a house in Connaught Square, near Marble Arch. Finding a tenant for this also took a long time and they had to reduce the rent sought *.
The use of private finance to fund public projects has also been criticised by Labour left-wingers as both an economic bad deal and as privatising public service *. The Private Finance Initiative, under which public services are built by private companies and then leased back to the state, began under the Major government and was expanded significantly under Blair. Some critics describe Blair as a reconstructed Conservative or Thatcherite. Shortly before the general election of 2001 The Economist gave a front cover the headline, "Vote conservative" (note lower-case "c") - with a picture of Blair.
Since Blair became Prime Minister, Private Eye has run a regular feature called the St Albion Parish News based on the Blair government. In this series, the parish incumbent ('Rev. A.R.P. Blair MA (Oxon)') combines a relentless trendiness with a tendency to moralise and to exclude all those who criticise him. The series highlights Blair's perceived penchant for spin and his zealous enthusiasms in relation to recent political events.
In his first term of office, Blair was the subject of a satirical comic strip Dan Blair in The Times. This strip spoofed the comic book hero Dan Dare and his nemesis, the Mekon, who represented William Hague in the strip, portrayed with a very large forehead. He has also been parodied in the comic 2000 AD in the series B.L.A.I.R. 1 (a spoof of the old-fashioned strip M.A.C.H.1 written by David Bishop) where he acts as a futuristic crime fighter controlled by an artificial intelligence known as "Doctor Spin".
In opposition under John Smith, the ITV satirical puppet show Spitting Image depicted Blair within the Shadow Cabinet as a schoolboy with a high-pitched voice and bottle-green uniform, complete with cap. The first show after Smith's death featured Blair singing "I'm going to be the leader! I'm going to be the leader!" over and over. Once settled in as leader, the programme, which was in its last years, changed its caricature of Blair to have a small face with an outsized toothy grin. The show ended before Labour gained power.
Jamie Foxx portrayed a black Blair in a skit from Chappelle's Show. Foxx used a fake English accent and performed actions considered stereotypically English in America, such as drinking tea, although not especially associated with Blair.
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